This is the link to all posts in the blog related to inflation in the USA. [...] It was demonstrated that the difference between the PPI of durable and nondurable goods can be predicted at a several year horizon. The prediction consists of three steps. First, we show that the difference between producer price index for durable and nondurable goods is characterized by the presence of [...]
New MPRA working paper
Kitov, I., (2009). Predicting real GDP per capita in France, Germany, New Zealand, and the UK, MPRA Paper 15503, University Library of Munich, Germany,
http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/15503/01/MPRA_paper_15503.pdf
Abstract
The growth rate of real GDP per capita is modelled and predicted at various time horizons for France, Germany, New [...]
New MPRA working paper
Kitov, I., (2009). ConocoPhillips and Exxon Mobil stock price, MPRA Paper 15334, University Library of Munich, Germany,
http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/15334/01/MPRA_paper_15334.pdf
Abstract
Exxon Mobil and ConocoPhillips stock price has been predicted using the difference between core and headline CPI in the United States. Linear trends in the CPI difference [...]
In this post, we model IBM stock price as a linear function of the difference between core CPI and the headline CPI less food and shelter in the United States. IBM definitely does not belong to the energy subcategory like COP, XOM, and DVN. So, an accurate prediction of IBM [...]
Monitoring of nuclear tests is my major specialization in geophysics [idg3.chph.ras.ru]
Halliburton is not an exclusion among energy companies. A striking feature - the difference core CPI and CPI is less sensitive to HAL price change than to price changes in other energy companies.
Approximately a month ago we presented in this blog a comparison of headline and core CPI in the US. It was predicted that in April the headline CPI would grow faster than the core CPI (see figure below) Figure 1. After 2002, the difference is characterized [...] 
On April 14, the Energy Information Administration published a short-term energy outlook, which included oil price. In 2009, average price is predicted at a level of %53, and in 2010 - $63 per barrel.We think [...]
The years of 2008 and 2009 are charaterized by very high volatility in the difference between overall CPI and individual price indices. Below are presented figures for several industries and commodities we continue tracking and reporting:
I would recommend to read this paper - The (unfortunate) complexity of the economy by Jean-Philippe Bouchaud. This is a continuation of "Economics needs a scientific revolution". [...] 
Same procedure as in the previous posts. 
Some figures illustrating the prediction of unemployment and inflation in Sweden. The procedure is discussed in our working papers as discussed in previous blogs.
Following our previous post, the prediction of a sudden drop in unemployment is clear.
Figure 1. Observed and predicted growth rate of real GDP per capita, dG/G, in Japan. The number of 18-year-olds is obtained from the 2000 Census as an extrapolation of corresponding age pyramid.
[...]
