Items by Alan Steinberg

• Some Observations on the Final Gubernatorial Election Results

  —Politicker NJ

  The final certified 2009 gubernatorial election returns show that Chris Christie defeated Jon Corzine by 86,000.  Percentage totals were as follows: Christie:  48.45 Corzine:  44.88 Daggett:   5.76 Others:      0.91 Christie won the election by 3.57 percent.  The margin could best be described as close, but not razor thin. [...]
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  Posted: December 16, 2009, 6:37pm EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• The Most Disquieting Aspect of Climategate

  —Politicker NJ

  "Climategate” refers to the scandal of the information recently provided by hacked e-mails from the Climate Research Unit (CRU) at East Anglia University in Great Britain.  The emails reveal:  1) attempts by global warming advocate scientists at CRU to conceal information running counter to their arguments; and 2) an inability [...]
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  Posted: December 08, 2009, 7:49pm EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• Bagger a Superb Appointee

  —Politicker NJ

  In appointing Rich Bagger as Chief of Staff, Governor- elect Chris Christie has made an absolutely superb appointment.  Bagger will obviously be making a considerable financial sacrifice by leaving Pfizer to join the Governor’s office, but New Jersey is certainly the better for it.  [...]
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  Posted: December 03, 2009, 9:17pm EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• The Uncertain Future Market for Solar and Wind Energy

  —Politicker NJ

  Two weeks ago, Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nevada) announced that Senate action on climate change (i.e., the cap-and-trade greenhouse gas bill passed by the U.S. House of Representatives in June, 2009) would be postponed until Spring, 2010.  For all practical purposes, however, this means that cap-and-trade greenhouse gas [...]
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  Posted: November 27, 2009, 3:06pm EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• 1992-1993: How Divided Government Worked in New Jersey

  —Politicker NJ

  As in any transition, speculation is rampant as to whom Governor-elect Chris Christie will appoint as Chief of Staff, State Treasurer, and Attorney General.   His appointment to the position of Chief Counsel, however, will be equally as important.  Traditionally, in situations where the Governor and the Legislature are of different [...]
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  Posted: November 16, 2009, 10:31pm EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• The Significance of Adler’s ObamaCare Vote

  —Politicker NJ

  Going into Election Year 2010, the outlook is hopeful for Republicans nationally.  The victories of Bob McDonnell and Chris Christie in Virginia and New Jersey respectively may well be a prelude to a sizable gain for Republicans in gubernatorial races nationally.  In the Senate races, Republicans will more than likely [...]
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  Posted: November 13, 2009, 9:15am EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• Obama's Climate Change Dilemma

  —Politicker NJ

  Last Thursday, Lisa Jackson, Administrator of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) announced the appointment of my successor as Regional Administrator of Region 2 EPA, Judith Enck, who had been serving as Deputy Secretary of the Environment under New York Governors Eliot Spitzer and David Patterson.  Simultaneously, Lisa also announced [...]
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  Posted: November 10, 2009, 1:07pm EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• Christie Versus the NJEA

  —Politicker NJ

  Within 24 hours after the election of Chris Christie as Governor, the battle was joined between the Governor-elect and the New Jersey Education Association (NJEA).  This could become the Ali-Frazier of New Jersey issue battles. [...]
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  Posted: November 05, 2009, 11:25pm EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• The Revival of the Reagan Democrats in Gloucester and Middlesex

  —Politicker NJ

  I must begin by congratulating the strategists, senior advisors, and management staff of the Christie campaign whom I often vigorously criticized during the campaign.  My criticisms were based on my honest judgment and analysis regarding the various trends in the polls and the key policy issues discussed in the campaign.  [...]
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  Posted: November 04, 2009, 2:26am EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• Key to Election: How Effective is Each Candidate's GOTV?

  —Politicker NJ

  With one day left in the campaign, it is clear that Chris Christie has major momentum.  The election outcome will be determined by turnout.  In this regard, the key question will be:  How effective is each candidate’s GOTV (Get-Out-the-Vote)? [...]
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  Posted: November 02, 2009, 11:39am EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• 1961: Kennedy-Hughes; 2009: Obama-Corzine?

  —Politicker NJ

  Almost exactly 48 years ago, November 2, 1961, five days before the 1961 New Jersey gubernatorial election, President John F. Kennedy spoke at a rally for Democrat gubernatorial candidate, former Superior Court Judge Richard J. Hughes at the Trenton War Memorial.  Hughes had been an underdog against Republican candidate James [...]
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  Posted: November 01, 2009, 7:39am EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• The New Jersey Supreme Court: Christie’s Most Compelling Case

  —Politicker NJ

  Movement conservatives have been upset with the campaign strategy of Chris Christie, his positions on energy issues, and his self-association with Barack Obama.  I also have written columns on this website critical of both the Republican candidate and his campaign.  In many ways, I have been more disappointed by Christie [...]
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  Posted: October 30, 2009, 9:12am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• The Assembly: District 1 is GOP Hope for Gain

  —Politicker NJ

  This is the last election under the 2001 New Jersey legislative district reapportionment, which ultimately resulted in the transformation of the 22nd, 34th, and 38th Districts from Republican to safe Democrat.  Subsequent political campaign developments in this decade have resulted in the formerly Republican 3rd, 4th, and 36th districts becoming [...]
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  Posted: October 28, 2009, 12:32am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Four Conservative Reasons - And One Other - to Support Christie

  —Politicker NJ

  While I have written extensively about the ineptitude of the Christie campaign, I have never wavered in my belief that Chris Christie is by far the best choice for Governor among the three leading candidates in the Tuesday, November 3, 2009 election. [...]
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  Posted: October 25, 2009, 6:39am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Christie Baseball: Two Hits, Two Errors, and a Lucky Break

  —Politicker NJ

  With a possible pending Philadelphia Phillies-New York Yankees “New Jersey Turnpike World Series”, baseball analogies regarding the gubernatorial race abound in the Garden State.  In baseball lingo, within the past 24 hours, the Christie campaign has had two hits, two errors, and a late inning lucky break. [...]
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  Posted: October 22, 2009, 9:22pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Christie Campaign Has Not Utilized Guadagno Effectively

  —Politicker NJ

  Kim Guadagno is a new Republican superstar.  She represents the best hope that Chris Christie has of regaining the support of Independent women that he has lost over the past month. Every morning, as I watch local New York news shows between 6:00 am and 7:00 am, I see a Corzine [...]
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  Posted: October 21, 2009, 12:28pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• William Paterson Debate: Christie’s Best Night

  —Politicker NJ

  I thought that Chris Christie’s performance at the William Paterson University televised debate on Friday was his best yet in Gubernatorial Campaign 2009, including the primary as well. [...]
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  Posted: October 19, 2009, 1:45am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• What Will the Philadelphia Inquirer Do?

  —Politicker NJ

  I treasure my friendship with Carl Golden.  Not only are he and his wife, Linda wonderful people; he was without question the finest Governor’s press secretary in New Jersey history.  I am most proud to say that throughout my years of public service, he was my mentor in terms of [...]
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  Posted: October 15, 2009, 11:17am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• E.G. (Ed Gillespie), Phone Home

  —Politicker NJ

  While the trends in the polls continue to be negative for the Christie for Governor campaign, the good news for the Republican Party comes out of Virginia.  Bob McDonnell, the Republican candidate for Governor, is in the process of locking up his victory over Democrat Creigh Deeds. Unlike the Christie [...]
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  Posted: October 13, 2009, 8:19am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Lieutenant-Governor Debate: Guadagno a Clear Winner

  —Politicker NJ

  I just returned to my home in West Orange from the Lieutenant Governor debate at Monmouth University.  Kim Guadagno was a clear winner. Kim projected competence, knowledge of issues, and even more importantly, empathy.  She has genuine charisma and star quality.  Regardless of whether Chris Christie wins or loses in [...]
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  Posted: October 09, 2009, 1:39am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Does Christie Finally Have a Winning Property Tax Message ?

  —Politicker NJ

  If he does, he may still win after all.  If not, my prediction last night of a three-to-five point Corzine victory remains operative. The foundation for such a message emerged from Christie’s appearance before the Star-Ledger editorial board on Monday, described in Paul Mulshine’s blog column yesterday afternoon.    The following [...]
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  Posted: October 07, 2009, 5:00pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Four Weeks to Go – I Hope I Am Wrong

  —Politicker NJ

  Between now and Election Day, I plan to post in this space each weekday a short daily blog as to how I assess the election. I now believe that Jon Corzine will defeat Chris Christie by a margin of between three to five points. Let me put it this [...]
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  Posted: October 06, 2009, 10:00pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Tonight’s Debate: Christie Can Score a Knockout Against Daggett

  —Politicker NJ

  A principal reason for the narrowing of the gap between Chris Christie and Jon Corzine in both the Quinnipiac and Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey polls is the increase in Chris Daggett’s share of likely voters.  As shown by yesterday’s Quinnipiac Poll and today’s Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll, the increase [...]
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  Posted: October 01, 2009, 11:37am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Message from Monmouth University-Gannett Poll: A GOTV Election

  —Politicker NJ

  Although yesterday’s Monmouth University/Gannett Poll showed Chris Christie’s lead over Jon Corzine among likely voters being reduced from fourteen to eight percentage points, there was good news in the poll for the Republican challenger as well.  In spite of an onslaught from Jon Corzine of negative ad hominem television commercials, [...]
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  Posted: September 14, 2009, 11:25am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Education: Corzine’s Positive Message?

  —Politicker NJ

  During the past week, I watched on NJN coverage of several campaign events trumpeting Governor Jon Corzine’s successes in education governance.  The message of each event was as follows:  Although Jon Corzine had to make drastic cuts in the state budget during a time of diminished revenues, he actually increased [...]
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  Posted: September 10, 2009, 2:15pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Daggett, the Nonpopulist – Likely, a Nonfactor

  —Politicker NJ

  I like Chris Daggett.  Of all my predecessors in my former position as Regional Administrator of Region 2, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), I feel he was the best.  I actually think he has the leadership and managerial skills to be a good governor, although I think Chris Christie surpasses [...]
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  Posted: September 06, 2009, 8:35am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Quinnipiac Verdict: Corzine’s Negative Strategy Has Backfired

  —Politicker NJ

  Ed Rollins, who managed Ronald Reagan’s landslide reelection victory in 1984 and Christie Whitman’s come-from-behind gubernatorial victory in 1993 is the best Republican strategist I have ever met.  With regard to negative campaigning, Rollins has often said the following: “When a candidate launches a negative campaign, he will in virtually [...]
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  Posted: September 01, 2009, 8:25am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• The Christie Campaign: Whitman ’93 or Dewey ’48 ?

  —Politicker NJ

  I received a number of responses to my PolitickerNJ.com column last week.  In that column, I asserted that in order to win the gubernatorial election, Chris Christie must offer a property tax reduction platform.  One responder contended that if Christie followed my advice, he would lose the election in similar [...]
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  Posted: August 13, 2009, 6:07pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Does Corzine Have a Viable Comeback Strategy?

  —Politicker NJ

  Two weeks ago, on Corruption Thursday, I wrote a PolitickerNJ.com column entitled “Corzine is Not Corrupt – But The Corruption Scandal Dooms His Campaign.”  I based my conclusion upon my belief that Governor Jon Corzine had lost the only strategy that could reelect him – an onslaught of television commercials [...]
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  Posted: August 06, 2009, 10:52am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Bret Schundler and Cory Booker Look Very Good These Days

  —Politicker NJ

  Since Corruption Thursday, I continue to hear people say that it is impossible to govern effectively in Hudson County without playing the corruption game.  I quickly respond to such nonsense by citing the ultimate counter-example, Bret Schundler, who governed as mayor of Jersey City most effectively and without a hint [...]
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  Posted: August 03, 2009, 8:54am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Doria: I Hope It Isn’t So, Joe

  —Politicker NJ

  On the day we in New Jersey will always remember as Corruption Thursday, my thoughts were focussed in three areas: As a long time participant and observer of New Jersey politics, I thought of the impact the arrests and continuing scandal would have on the gubernatorial campaign.  I compiled these [...]
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  Posted: July 27, 2009, 7:49am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Corzine is Not Corrupt – But The Corruption Scandal Dooms His Campaign

  —Politicker NJ

  There is no evidence that Governor Jon Corzine personally is connected in any way to the alleged criminal deeds that form the basis of the arrests of politicians, political operatives, and rabbis announced today by the New Jersey U.S. Attorney’s office.  His Community Affairs Commissioner Joe Doria, who resigned this [...]
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  Posted: July 23, 2009, 3:47pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Guadagno Selection a Political Masterstroke

  —Politicker NJ

  While I continue to support Chris Christie for Governor, I have not been hesitant to criticize him or his campaign in my columns on PolitickerNJ.com.  I am, however, seeking no benefit from Chris Christie.  After having served a most gratifying two decades in government, capped off by my tenure as [...]
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  Posted: July 20, 2009, 5:17pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Quinnipiac Poll: The Bush, Obama, Lonegan, and Daggett Factors

  —Politicker NJ

  The key findings to be inferred from the Quinnipiac Poll released today are as follows: 1.  The Corzine negative strategy of attempting to link Christie with currently unpopular former President George W. Bush has been a dismal failure. 2.  President Obama’s popularity in New Jersey is declining rapidly, and he can help [...]
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  Posted: July 14, 2009, 6:07pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Governor's Race: What if Obama's Popularity Collapses ?

  —Politicker NJ

  Two weeks ago, I heard Dick Morris address the 2009 Patriot’s Forum of the Notre Dame Club of Central New Jersey at the Friend Center at Princeton University.  The focus of Morris’s lecture was his core belief that President Obama’s popularity is headed for a meltdown, due to 1) the [...]
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  Posted: July 08, 2009, 5:13pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• The Cap-and-Trade Disaster and the New Jersey GOP

  —Politicker NJ

  The legendary sports journalist, Jimmy Cannon of the now defunct New York Journal-American said of Howard Cosell: “His real name is Howard Cohen, he wears a toupee, and he claims to tell it like it is.” Of Leonard Lance, it may similarly be said:  He voted as a state Senator [...]
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  Posted: July 01, 2009, 1:09am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• The Other Campaign: Jon Corzine versus Creigh Deeds

  —Politicker NJ

  In Virginia, the most popular drama of 2009 may well be Mr. Deeds Goes to Town.   No, I am not referring to the 1936 movie starring Gary Cooper and Jean Arthur for which director Frank Capra received an Oscar.  Instead, I am writing about Virginia State Senator Creigh Deeds, [...]
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  Posted: June 16, 2009, 7:24pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Governor's Race: Eight Key Quinnipiac Findings

  —Politicker NJ

  There are eight key findings in the Quinnipiac Poll of the gubernatorial race released yesterday: 1.  Chris Christie is running very strong in his base areas of the Northwest Quadrant (Morris, Sussex, Somerset, Warren, and Hunterdon) and the Shore (Ocean, Monmouth, and Atlantic). 2.  Jon Corzine has lost South Jersey [...]
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  Posted: June 11, 2009, 12:23am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• The Critical Choices – and Opportunities – Facing Chris Christie

  —Politicker NJ

  Chris Christie starts off the 2009 New Jersey gubernatorial general election campaign as the favorite against unpopular incumbent Jon Corzine.  The key to a Christie victory will be for him to 1) obtain a huge turnout from the Republican base by sticking to the conservative positions taken by him in [...]
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  Posted: June 03, 2009, 3:48am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• The New Jersey GOP is Now a Center-Right Party

  —Politicker NJ

  In the June, 2005 primary election, New Jersey Republicans selected as their candidate for governor Douglas Forrester, a nominee who, on the abortion issue, was an outspoken pro-choice advocate, opposed school vouchers, and refused to support President George W. Bush’s appointment of strict constructionist Justice Samuel Alito to the United [...]
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  Posted: May 22, 2009, 2:11pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• The New Jersey GOP is Now a Center-Right Party

  —Politicker NJ

  In the June, 2005 primary election, New Jersey Republicans selected as their candidate for governor Douglas Forrester, a nominee who, on the abortion issue, was an outspoken pro-choice advocate, opposed school vouchers, and refused to support President George W. Bush’s appointment of strict constructionist Justice Samuel Alito to the United [...]
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  Posted: May 22, 2009, 2:11pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Ron Paul's Anti-Israel Record and the Republican Primaries

  —Politicker NJ

  For the Jewish community of New Jersey, Ron Paul is a most disturbing individual. His fervent campaign against the American-Israel alliance is a direct contradiction of the political conservatism of Ronald Reagan and Jack Kemp, for whom support for Israel was at the core of their foreign policy positions. [...]
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  Posted: May 18, 2009, 6:52pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• The Republican Primary: The Most Compelling Case for Christie

  —Politicker NJ

  In my columns on PolitickerNJ.com, I have made no secret of my admiration for Chris Christie. His record as U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey was outstanding in all respects, including his conviction rate, his courage in pursuing corrupt officials of both political parties, and his absolutely unimpeachable [...]
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  Posted: May 14, 2009, 9:15pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Jack Kemp, Rest in Peace

  —Politicker NJ

  I grew up in the suburbs of Pittsburgh.  The first time I ever saw the name "Jack Kemp" was when my father took me to a Pittsburgh Steelers football game at the late, lamented Forbes Field in 1957 against the Green Bay Packers.  Kemp was listed in the program that [...]
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  Posted: May 03, 2009, 12:56pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• The Key Tax Message of Last Week's School Budget Elections

  —Politicker NJ

  Last Tuesday, April 21, the voters of New Jersey approved 74 percent of all school budgets.  The obvious meaning of the vote is that New Jersey voters are, for the most part pleased with their public schools and are willing to pay the high price necessary for their continued standards [...]
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  Posted: April 27, 2009, 3:02pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• The Distortions of Christie's Record as U.S. Attorney

  —Politicker NJ

  As U.S. Attorney for New Jersey, Chris Christie stepped on the toes of some extremely powerful people in his efforts to eliminate corruption in the Garden State.  Accordingly, he had to expect that friends of individuals he sent to jail would seek revenge by resorting to character assassination if he [...]
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  Posted: April 19, 2009, 6:58pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Corzine's Two-Pronged Positive Message Strategy

  —Politicker NJ

  Amidst the din of partisan charges and counter-charges in the state budget legislative hearings, the positive message strategy of Jon Corzine's reelection campaign can now be discerned.  Indeed, this two- pronged strategy has a fair chance of working, despite the Governor's current low poll numbers.  In brief, this is the [...]
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  Posted: April 12, 2009, 7:14pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• A Bold Clean Energy Initiative for Chris Christie to Consider

  —Politicker NJ

  In order for a Republican gubernatorial challenger to win in New Jersey, he or she must have a bold idea as the centrepiece of the campaign.  For Tom Kean in 1981, it was his "Kemp-Roth for New Jersey" corporate tax cut proposal.  For Christie Whitman in 1993, it was her [...]
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  Posted: April 05, 2009, 3:02pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Jon Corzine's Wall Street Albatross

  —Politicker NJ

  In the gubernatorial campaign of 2005, Jon Corzine's Wall Street background was, in figurative terms, an eagle for him, enabling him to fly above the crowd of potential rivals for the governorship.  Four years later, in 2009, his Wall Street background has been transformed by negative events from an eagle [...]
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  Posted: March 29, 2009, 11:06am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• How Blue is New Jersey ?

  —Politicker NJ

  One of the most enduring legacies of the 2000 Bush-Gore Presidential race has been the use of the colors "blue" and “red” to identify Democratic and Republican states, respectively.  This addition to the political idiom of America resulted from the colors on the 2000 NBC Election Night map used to [...]
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  Posted: March 23, 2009, 11:29pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Is There a Huey Long in Our Future ?

  —Politicker NJ

  The AIG debacle is an ultimate example of bipartisan disgrace and misgovernment.  The scandal will no doubt result in a massive disillusionment in the electorate with both Democrat and Republican Presidents, past and present, and members of Congress.  Conditions are now ripe for the emergence of a 21st century version [...]
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  Posted: March 18, 2009, 10:04am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Scott Garrett versus Conventional Wisdom on Financial Bailouts

  —Politicker NJ

  I first met Scott Garrett when I began my service as Senior Policy Advisor on the Assembly Republican Staff in June, 1992 while he was serving in his second term as an Assemblyman.  Over the past 17 years, both in his capacity as an Assemblyman and as a member of [...]
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  Posted: March 13, 2009, 12:24pm EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• Governor's Race 2009: The Obama Factor

  —Politicker NJ

  Last Wednesday, March 4 was a bad day for the reelection campaign of Jon Corzine. The Fairleigh Dickinson University (FDU) poll showed his approval numbers upside down at 40%-46%, while he trails the presumptive Republican nominee, Chris Christie by 9 points, 41%-32%.  Even worse news came two days later on [...]
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  Posted: March 08, 2009, 9:23am EDT
  by Alan Steinberg

• I Miss Steve Salmore and Frank Holman

  —Politicker NJ

  This year's gubernatorial election promises to be the most interesting and competitive governor’s race since the Whitman - McGreevey contest of 1997.  For me, however, I will miss the company of two dear friends with whom I was most fortunate to share the highs and lows of political campaigns during [...]
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  Posted: March 03, 2009, 8:45pm EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• A Republican Reassesses Jim Florio

  —Politicker NJ

  During the 1960s, the late conservative polemicist, William F. Buckley once referred to his relationship with Harvard liberal economist John Kenneth Galbraith as one of his significant "transideological relationships". In the course of my tenure as Regional Administrator of Region 2 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) during the Bush administration [...]
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  Posted: February 26, 2009, 1:14am EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• Israel's election, and New Jersey's

  —Politicker NJ

  In the three close New Jersey gubernatorial elections over the past three decades - 1981, 1993, and 1997, the Jewish vote has been a key factor. In the 2009 election, ironically due to the outcome of the Israeli election, the Jewish vote could be a decisive factor - in favor [...]
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  Posted: February 20, 2009, 12:48pm EST
  by Alan Steinberg

• Obama, Corzine, and the Politics of Nuclear Energy

  —Politicker NJ

  While the national media currently focus on the economic stimulus program of President Barack Obama, a major internal battle is shaping up between his environmental team, led by Carol Browner, who will seek a greenhouse gas cap-and-trade program and a carbon tax, and his economic team, led by Larry Summers, [...]
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  Posted: February 15, 2009, 2:29pm EST
  by Alan Steinberg