blognetnews.com
» Bloomington

The Hoosier Gadfly

  • I told you so

    I’m back, after a long hiatus. There are a number of reasons for the gap in my postings – some political, some personal. On the political front, though I’ve considered commenting on the Obama Administration’s foreign policy at various times, I didn’t really have anything to add beyond what readers [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: October 04, 2009, 3:02pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • Maybe North Korea didn’t get it right after all

    I just came across this article by geologist Jeffrey Park in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Park says that the seismic data indicate the latest North Korean test was another fizzle, concluding the yield was “likely 4 kilotons or smaller”. According to the author bio in the sidebar, Park seems [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: June 04, 2009, 5:09pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • North Korea finally gets it right?

    Back in October 2006, I speculated (accurately) that North Korea’s nuke test was a “fizzle”. Yesterday, North Korea (aka the Democratic Peoples Republic of Korea – DPRK) conducted another test, this time achieving a yield of aproximately 20 kilotons. As I said in the 2006 article: North Korea has repeatedly shown [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: May 26, 2009, 7:24pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • CSIS study: Israeli strike feasible

    The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) published a study 14 March 2009 laying out an Israeli attack scenario against Iranian nuclear sites. It is very similar to my Scenario 1 from 12 February 2007, which describes a direct strike on the key Iranian nuke sites. There are some differences [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: May 12, 2009, 7:02pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • When will Israel attack?

    Since my last posting in January, the political situation in Israel has clarified: 2nd place finisher Likud and party leader Benjamin Netanyahu are now in charge. There have been some other changes as well. True to Obama’s campaign statements indicating he intended to limit/reduce/eliminate US ballistic missile defense programs, his [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: May 01, 2009, 7:52pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • NY Times: U.S. rejected aid for Israeli strike

    On 10 January, the New York Times posted U.S. Rejected Aid for Israeli Raid on Iranian Nuclear Site, which claims that the U.S. refused to supply Israel with advanced bunker busters, refueling aircraft, or to allow overflights of Iraq for an attack on Iran. Nothing in this article should surprise [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: January 14, 2009, 4:52pm EST
    by paulhager

  • Is Gaza attack the “January Surprise”?

    Israel is now several days in to a major operation intended to attrition Hamas and degrade its ability to launch indiscriminate rocket attacks against Israeli civilians. In November, just before Obama won, I predicted that the Kadima-led Israeli government would launch an attack on Iran in the month before the [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: January 08, 2009, 8:24pm EST
    by paulhager

  • Most likely scenario for President Obama: hemmed in by bureaucrats and Blue Dogs

    Having covered the low probability worst case scenarios for an Obama administration, I now want to make some general observations about the most likely course for President-Elect Obama and Congressional Democrats. Previously, I said: Obama’s true genius is in self-promotion and the acquisition of power. He is exactly the sort of [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: November 16, 2008, 12:18pm EST
    by paulhager

  • The January Surprise

    There is ample evidence that the Israeli government and Israelis in general believe that an Obama administration will be much more inclined toward Israel’s enemies than any previous U.S. administration. There is also ample evidence that the Israeli government and the Bush administration have major disagreements over the imminence of [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: November 02, 2008, 12:38pm EST
    by paulhager

  • Worst case Obama: Part 3

    It is four days before the general election and an Obama victory appears all but certain. One issue that has arisen over the past few days derives from comments by running mate Joe Biden that were taped at a private event. Biden said that Obama would be “tested” by some [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: October 31, 2008, 7:08pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • Worst case Obama: a follow-up

    In my previous posting, I discussed why Obama and the Democrats might want to bring back the military draft. There was a public reason that would be offered but, behind it, there would be the intent to make the self-selected military organization more politically reliable. A few days later, and [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: October 24, 2008, 6:32pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • President Obama: Worst Case Scenarios

    I never thought I’d find myself writing that I expect Barack Obama to be elected President but, unless his slip about “spreading the wealth” causes voters to realize that he is a thoroughgoing Marxist masquerading as a center-leftist, that is what is going to happen. Already, some commentators are beginning [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: October 19, 2008, 11:19am EDT
    by paulhager

  • Is Sarah Palin as censorship minded as Hillary Clinton?

    The latest on Sarah Palin is that she may have considered censoring books at the town library when she became mayor of Wasilla, Alaska back in 1996. At present, to quote the Boston Herald), “[t]he stories are all suggestive, but facts are hard to come by.” Did Palin actually ban books [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: September 05, 2008, 7:59pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • Did Palin’s Teleprompter fail?

    Since my last posting, the oil bubble has indeed burst as predicted, falling nearly 1/3 from the high point. Even though this has dropped gasoline prices below $4/bbl, the public continues to favor domestic drilling. Meanwhile, in the Presidential contest, Barack Obama picked Senator Joe Biden and McCain picked Alaska Governor [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: September 04, 2008, 9:01pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • Perhaps the Democrats will sing in tune after the revolution

    As I write this, the nominees presumptive of their respective parties are Barack Obama and John McCain. Although I fully expect the oil bubble to burst at some point in the not too distant future, with gasoline topping $4 a gallon, McCain and the Republicans have found a very strong [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: June 19, 2008, 8:03pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • Vindication on the NIE

    Although it has been an interesting political season, even the prospect of an Obama-Hillary / Hillary-Obama shotgun wedding officiated by Howard Dean has been insufficient to motivate me to blog. However, a couple of recent events merit some commentary. The first was from early last month when Director of National Intelligence [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: March 27, 2008, 5:29pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • Stupidity: The last word on the NIE

    I hadn’t planned to comment on the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate – others with much better credentials than I have done so (notably John Bolton in the Washington Post). However, none of them offered the best refutation, although Henry Kissinger in a 13 December editorial came close. Kissinger pointed out [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: December 23, 2007, 12:02pm EST
    by paulhager

  • From Janes: Mission Improbable: Could Israel Attack Iran?

    I’m back after a rather long hiatus. I spent the summer on involuntary vacation: I was laid off from my job at Crane. During my layoff I didn’t feel much like writing, though I did step up my exercise regimen and lost some weight. After I got a new position [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: November 10, 2007, 11:44am EST
    by paulhager

  • Putting the moral cart before the moral horse

    I generally try to avoid religious arguments unless provoked or moved by a need to correct a misconception. Thus, in Idiotic Design versus Theistic Evolution I addressed the popular misconception that Darwin’s Theory of evolution by natural selection is incompatible with belief in a creator deity. Now comes one Doug [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: May 27, 2007, 11:38am EDT
    by paulhager

  • Is there a “threshold”?

    A little over a month ago, Iran announced it could enrich uranium on an “industrial scale”. In short order, IAEA inspectors were shown 8 cascades, amounting to 1,312 centrifuges, operating within the bowels of the subterranean Natanz enrichment facility. Yesterday, the New York Times reported, Atomic Agency Concludes Iran is [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: May 16, 2007, 1:09pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • Deconstructing Ron Paul in 2004

    On 23 March 2004, a buddy of mine sent me Iraq One Year Later by Republican Representative Ron Paul of Texas. He wanted to know what I thought of it. I sent him back a response in the form of my comments interlineated with Paul’s article. Now that Paul is [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: April 07, 2007, 10:25am EDT
    by paulhager

  • Why I’m supporting Rudy Giuliani for President

    Because Fred Thompson is not running…yet. [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: April 06, 2007, 3:53pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • Strategic incoherence from the Democratic Party

    In Preemptive war against Iran (7 March 2005), I wrote: From the perspective of the mullahs, Western culture is a mortal threat. Against the freedom, affluence, and vitality of the West, the mullahs can only offer a decadent medievalism that was on the way out 500 years ago. The mullahs realize [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: April 02, 2007, 5:05pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • Democrats are responsible for Global Warming

    I’ve listened for several years to eco-fascist troglodytes claiming the hated Bushitler and his Republican cronies are somehow responsible for anthropogenic global warming (AGW). In reality, if AGW is a problem or is destined to become one, it is the eco-fascists themselves and their enablers in the Democratic Party who [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: March 26, 2007, 5:00pm EDT
    by paulhager

  • New junk science from the American Psychological Association

    The American Psychological Association (APA) has just released this report from the APA’s Task Force on the Sexualization of Girls. The report claims that girls are being “sexualized” at younger ages and that this is harmful because, for females 18 and older, “sexualization” has been linked to “three of the [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: March 05, 2007, 4:52pm EST
    by paulhager

  • Is Israel asking U.S. permission to attack Iran?

    The Daily Telegraph reports Israel seeks all clear for Iran air strike. As I demonstrated in Gaming an Israeli conventional strike on Iran: Scenario 1 and Gaming an Israeli conventional strike on Iran: Scenario 2, a direct attack, flying through Iraqi airspace, is relatively easy for the Israeli Air Force [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: February 24, 2007, 8:58pm EST
    by paulhager

  • Head Keystone Kop opines on Iranian nuke program

    In the FT Interview: Mohamed ElBaradei, the redoubtable Nobel Peace Prize winner states two mutually contradictory positions. The first is that Iran is 5 to 10 years away from nukes. The second is that Iran may have its first nukes next year. The Financial Times interviewer, Daniel Dombey, tries to [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: February 20, 2007, 7:38pm EST
    by paulhager

  • Gaming an Israeli conventional strike on Iran: Scenario 2

    Picking up where I left off in Gaming an Israeli conventional strike on Iran: Scenario 1, I set up and ran Scenario 2 – the no overflight scenario. It became immediately apparent that 5 KC-707 tankers was an insufficient number for a one-shot strike. There is no problem putting all [...]
     | Rate | Archive
    Posted: February 12, 2007, 10:58pm EST
    by paulhager
← The Hoosier Scoop The Bloomington Alternative →

Blog Info:
The Hoosier Gadfly

» http://paulhager.org/wordpress/

Categories

BNN Traffic Index

Alexa: 22,240,650
-637,222

Compete: 3,920,438
0

Quantcast: No data
1,388,721

BNN Traffic Index: -318,611

BNN Authority Index

Technorati: 0

Google: 0

BNN Authority Index: No data

» Subscribe to the The Hoosier Gadfly feed