36 Races Current Make Up R-18 D-18 Projected Make Up: R-21 D-15 Net Gain R +3Alabama (Richard Shelby - R) Inc. GOP Hold
Alaska (Lisa Murkowski - R) Inc. GOP Hold
Arizona (John McCain - R) Inc. GOP Hold
Arkansas (Blanche Lincoln - [...]
36 Races Current Make Up R-18 D-18 Projected Make Up: R-21 D-15 Net Gain R +3





The variable that has the highest weight in our model is the intrade markets. Today marks a milestone, the first time ever that McCain futures are trading for more than Obama futures. 









The Democratic surge in Colorado reflects the national trend, but it involves a great deal more. There's something unique going on in Colorado that, if copied in other states, has the potential to produce sweeping [...]


